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Mathemetician computes the fastest pace that humans can run in marathons/sprints

Posted January 4th, 2007 at 12:00 PM by Gina Pellrine

Section: News & Results, Marathons, Track & Field, Olympics

einmahl.jpgJohn Einmahl, a Dutch mathematician and professor at Tilberg University in Germany, claims to have recently discovered that the world record in the 100m sprint can be lowered by another half-second.

Einmahl claims that Asafa Powell’s current record of 9.77 seconds mark can be reduced to 9.29 now, and Paul Tergat’s record of 2:04:55 can only be improved by 49 seconds.

asafa_powell_100m_record.jpgMichael Johnson’s 200 record of 19.32 could be lowered to 18.63, while Liu Xiang’s 110-meter hurdle mark of 12.88 could be lowered by a half second. Paula Radcliffe’s current marathon mark of 2:15.25 could drop by 8:50, leaving women marathoners with plenty of room to shatter her mark (Although we are skeptical of an 8:50 reduction).

Einmahl studied world records in 14 disciplines, computing the best marks of 1,546 male and 1,024 female athletes. Einmahl said:

“For a lot of athletes it is probably depressing when they are confronted with our extreme values … But this is a very serious study - the extreme theory as a part of mathematics and statistics is an accepted science.”

He stated that in his field the unbelievable can be accepted; but the impossible is not recognized. Despite his results, the mathematician acknowledged that extraordinary performances may come along, contradicting his findings.

Research sources and for further information:
“World 100m record can be lowered - expert”

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2 Responses to “Mathemetician computes the fastest pace that humans can run in marathons/sprints”
  1. […] What is the mathematical limits of human speed? That question was addressed in an interesting article yesterday on The Final Sprint website. John Einmahl, a Dutch mathematician and professor at Tilberg University in Germany, claims to have recently discovered that the world record in the 100m sprint can be lowered by another half-second. Einmahl claims that Asafa Powell’s current record of 9.77 seconds mark can be reduced to 9.29 now, and Paul Tergat’s record of 2:04:55 can only be improved by 49 seconds… …Paula Radcliffe’s current marathon mark of 2:15.25 could drop by 8:50… …He stated that in his field the unbelievable can be accepted; but the impossible is not recognized. Despite his results, the mathematician acknowledged that extraordinary performances may come along, contradicting his findings. […]

  2. OMG said:

    OMG

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